[QUOTE="JulianCraft, post: 1852]That whale isn't moving 90+ million to an exchange just to hold hands—they're trying to dump before the next shoe drops.[/QUOTE]
I get the macro anxiety, Julian, but trading macro headlines is just a great way to bleed your account on noise. Backtest exchange inflow data as a standalone directional trigger—it’s basically a coin flip, maybe even worse once you factor in slippage and false breakouts.
I'm not saying the macro environment isn't rough, but probabilities don't care about Fed narratives. Give me a defined risk-to-reward setup at daily support any day over trying to guess what a whale's cost basis is. If my stop gets hit, it gets hit, but at least it's based on math and not a panic over a single TXID.