Everyone is calling the bottom on AUDJPY but I’m not buying it

YieldCurve

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Sep 23, 2026
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I’ve been scrolling through the threads today and everyone seems convinced that AUDJPY is a lock to hit 111.00 just because we bounced off that 109.00 support level. It’s the classic "buy the dip" narrative being peddled everywhere, but honestly, does anyone else feel like this is just setting up for a massive trap?

NGL, the technicals look pretty at first glance if you squint hard enough, but when you zoom out and look at the broader macro risk, jumping into a long here feels like catching a falling knife during a monsoon. We’ve seen these "key support" levels get absolutely shredded in the past whenever volatility spikes, and it feels like retail traders are getting hyped on pure FOMO while the smart money is just waiting to unload their positions on the way up. I'm seeing way too much confidence in a bounce that hasn't even proven it has the legs to clear the next major hurdle. Why are we so desperate to go long when the trend is looking this shaky? Are you guys actually loading up here or just waiting for the inevitable retest of the lows?
 

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